The rating
Toss-up
Rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report on Oct 20, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Toss-up | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Latest |
Who is running
Roger Marshall
Republican Incumbent
Adam Hamilton
Democrat Challenger
The facts
- Cook moved Kansas from Lean Republican to Toss Up on a Tuesday four weeks before Election Day.
- Marshall won in 2020 with 53.2%. Hamilton leads the Church of the Resurrection and won his primary with 35% of the vote.
- Cook's Jessica Taylor wrote that President Trump is a drag on Republicans across the board because of rising fuel prices and the high cost of living.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
A toss-up in Kansas shows how wide the map has grown for Republicans.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 20, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)
Our stories on this race
- Kansas Democrat Adam Hamilton Says He Won't Back Schumer, but Schumer's Allies Are Spending Millions for Him, Marshall Says
- Kansas Democratic Senate Nominee Adam Hamilton's Megachurch Urged Staff to Drop 'Boys and Girls' for Gender-Neutral Terms, Breitbart Reports
- Bombardier Announces 800 U.S. Jobs and a $270 Million First Phase After Trump Threatened Its Sales