The rating
Toss-up
Rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report on Oct 13, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Toss-up | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Latest |
Who is running
Joe Lombardo
Republican Incumbent
Aaron Ford
Democrat Challenger
The facts
- Lombardo won in 2022 with 48.8%.
- Lombardo won the June 9 primary with over 90% of the vote.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
A Republican incumbent in a race both Cook and Sabato call a toss-up.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 13, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)