The rating
Lean Democrat
Rated Lean Democrat by Cook Political Report on Oct 23, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Lean D | Oct 23, 2026 |
Who is running
Greg Cunningham
Republican Challenger
Gabe Vasquez
Democrat Incumbent
The facts
- Cook Political Report rates the race Leans Democratic as of Oct. 23, 2026.
- Gabe Vasquez (D) was first elected in 2022.
- Wikipedia lists the district's Partisan Voting Index as EVEN.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
A Democratic seat that Cook leans toward the incumbent. Republicans need a strong night here.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 23, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)