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U.S. House · Montana 1st DistrictToss-up

Montana 1st District

Open seat. Aaron Flint (R) faces Sam Forstag (D). One other candidate is also on the ballot.

Rating updated Rating: Cook Political Report

The rating

Toss-up

Rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report on Oct 23, 2026.

What each forecaster says
ForecasterRatingAs of
Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab)Toss-upOct 23, 2026

Who is running

Aaron Flint

Republican Open seat

Sam Forstag

Democrat Open seat

Nick Sheedy

Libertarian Open seat

The facts

  • Cook Political Report rates the race Toss-up as of Oct. 23, 2026. Source: Cook, via 270toWin
  • Rep. Ryan Zinke (R) is not seeking re-election. Source: Wikipedia
  • Wikipedia lists the district's Partisan Voting Index as R+5. Source: Wikipedia
Opinion

Why this race matters to conservatives

Republicans must hold this seat without Ryan Zinke on the ballot. Cook rates it Toss-up.

This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.

Where these facts come from

Map How to vote