The rating
Toss-up
Rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report on Oct 23, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Toss-up | Oct 23, 2026 |
Who is running
Mike Bouchard Jr.
Republican Open seat
Christina Hines
Democrat Open seat
Andrea L. Kirby
Working Class Open seat
Kwabena Nkromo
Green Open seat
Mike Saliba
Libertarian Open seat
The facts
- Cook Political Report rates the race Toss-up as of Oct. 23, 2026.
- Rep. John James (R) is leaving the seat to run for governor.
- Wikipedia lists the district's Partisan Voting Index as R+3.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
Republicans must hold this seat without John James on the ballot. Cook rates it Toss-up.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 23, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)