The rating
Toss-up
Rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report on Oct 13, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Toss-up | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | Latest |
Who is running
Ty Masterson
Republican Open seat
Cindy Holscher
Democrat Open seat
The facts
- Kelly, a Democrat, won in 2022 with 49.5% and is term-limited.
- Masterson won the August 4 Republican primary with 43.2%. Holscher won the Democratic primary with 48.8%.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
A Republican pickup in a state where Democrats now hold the office. Cook calls it a toss-up and Sabato leans Republican.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 13, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)