The rating
Lean Republican
Rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report on Oct 13, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Lean R | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | Latest |
Who is running
Byron Donalds
Republican Open seat
David Jolly
Democrat Open seat
The facts
- DeSantis won in 2022 with 59.4% and is term-limited.
- Jolly is a former Republican congressman who joined the Democratic Party in 2025.
- Cook moved Florida from Likely Republican to Leans Republican on Oct. 1.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
Florida has a Republican governor now. Keeping the office keeps the DeSantis years in place.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 13, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)