The rating
Lean Democrat
Rated Lean Democrat by Cook Political Report on Oct 23, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Lean D | Oct 23, 2026 |
Who is running
Gabe Evans
Republican Incumbent
Manny Rutinel
Democrat Challenger
Dan Wood
Libertarian Challenger
The facts
- Cook Political Report rates the race Leans Democratic as of Oct. 23, 2026.
- Gabe Evans (R) was first elected in 2024.
- Wikipedia lists the district's Partisan Voting Index as EVEN.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
Cook leans Democratic here, so Gabe Evans needs to beat the odds to keep this Republican seat.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 23, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)