The rating
Lean Republican
Rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report on Oct 23, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Lean R | Oct 23, 2026 |
Who is running
Eli Crane
Republican Incumbent
Jonathan Nez
Democrat Challenger
Curtis Goodwin
Libertarian Challenger
The facts
- Cook Political Report rates the race Leans Republican as of Oct. 23, 2026.
- Eli Crane (R) was first elected in 2022.
- Wikipedia lists the district's Partisan Voting Index as R+7.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
Cook leans Republican, but Democrats are targeting this seat. Eli Crane must hold it.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 23, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)