The rating
Lean Democrat
Rated Lean Democrat by Cook Political Report on Oct 23, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Lean D | Oct 23, 2026 |
Who is running
Jay Feely
Republican Open seat
Amish Shah
Democrat Open seat
Monica Alponte
Libertarian Open seat
The facts
- Cook Political Report rates the race Leans Democratic as of Oct. 23, 2026.
- Rep. David Schweikert (R) is leaving the seat to run for governor.
- Wikipedia lists the district's Partisan Voting Index as R+1.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
Republicans must hold this seat without David Schweikert on the ballot. Cook rates it Leans Democratic.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 23, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)