The rating
Toss-up
Rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report on Oct 20, 2026.
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report (opens in a new tab) | Toss-up | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | Latest |
Who is running
Dan Sullivan
Republican Incumbent
Mary Peltola
Democrat Challenger
The facts
- Sullivan won in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote.
- Peltola is a former Democratic U.S. representative who lost her 2024 re-election bid.
- The August 18 primary sent four candidates to November, and the vote uses ranked-choice. A different man, Dan J. Sullivan, is also on the ballot. Some Republicans say it is meant to confuse voters.
Worth knowing about this race
Ranked-choice voting is used. Check your ballot for the right Sullivan.
Opinion
Why this race matters to conservatives
Alaska is a Republican seat in play. A loss here makes the math harder for the Senate majority.
This box is the opinion of RightNewsRightNow. The rest of this page is reporting, with sources listed below.
Where these facts come from
- Cook Political ReportCurrent rating, as of Oct 20, 2026Read it (opens in a new tab)
- Wikipedia (election pages, with their cited sources)Candidate and race factsRead it (opens in a new tab)